Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 5.257515 5.914475 6.632059 7.475731 8.442615 9.518528 10.809834
2024-12-29 4.435484 5.334861 6.394119 7.740520 9.415913 11.444397 14.105025
2025-01-05 3.796353 4.797122 6.043722 7.724466 9.952336 12.833441 16.888982
2025-01-12 3.324450 4.369551 5.731277 7.657388 10.346860 14.021461 19.512942
2025-01-19 2.835357 3.845456 5.209840 7.215993 10.138892 14.317946 20.883998
2025-01-26 2.594059 3.622763 5.060013 7.252256 10.578593 15.547278 23.744638
2025-02-02 2.453252 3.521257 5.061505 7.493891 11.330485 17.308388 27.651602
2025-02-09 2.305851 3.391866 5.003387 7.629683 11.921400 18.873527 31.447510
2025-02-16 2.168234 3.261767 4.927462 7.722140 12.442025 20.371853 35.329559
2025-02-23 2.045137 3.141302 4.852198 7.802041 12.941397 21.880908 39.437342
2025-03-02 1.874458 2.930229 4.612462 7.581077 12.892996 22.413834 41.780855
2025-03-09 1.751484 2.785751 4.467621 7.504756 13.085781 23.394392 45.122860
2025-03-16 1.633731 2.643536 4.319311 7.416133 13.261525 24.393090 48.725489
2025-03-23 1.594201 2.629830 4.388181 7.723647 14.214730 27.016241 56.202015
2025-03-30 1.507333 2.527347 4.293003 7.717657 14.558877 28.464306 61.349374
2025-04-06 1.419780 2.416704 4.173648 7.652849 14.775593 29.671556 66.148308
2025-04-13 1.286848 2.215523 3.874587 7.212206 14.174324 29.056417 66.494793
2025-04-20 1.230631 2.149583 3.819900 7.248550 14.574535 30.682576 72.648710
2025-04-27 1.204984 2.137841 3.865418 7.490068 15.440816 33.473139 82.310944
2025-05-04 1.167709 2.101393 3.860324 7.625787 16.088302 35.843164 91.329968
2025-05-11 1.127846 2.057071 3.836137 7.718192 16.647176 38.076533 100.425710
2025-05-18 1.089229 2.012412 3.807641 7.798047 17.185181 40.332561 110.059971
2025-05-25 1.021960 1.907038 3.649050 7.577211 16.981766 40.670314 114.013393